Price Action Guide – Part 9: Fifteen Minute Candle Day-BTST Trading Strategy

price action strategy on 15 minute candles

This strategy actually goes against what the herd is doing.

Any amateur trader knows that a bunch of inexperienced traders jump into stocks at the opening based on news, open =high (or low), TV expert comments, etc.

Amateur traders also know, or should know that the biggies and the professional traders enter the market after 1.30 PM and then dictate the trend from thereon.

This trading will help you hunt the hares (the herd) with the hounds (the biggies).

15 Minute Price Action Trading Strategy

What you need:

15 Minute charts

VWAP

This strategy should only be used on FNO stocks and indices.

How To Play This Strategy at 9.30 AM

As stated earlier, the assumption is that many amateur and new traders enter right at the opening and either buy or sell the stock for whatever reason.

As time goes by, they square  up their positions and some make profits and some lose out.

By the time they get out, a trend gets established.

This is how you play this strategy in the opening:

1. Mark the high and low on the first 15 minute candle body (you can include or exclude the wicks – try both and check anyway). The top line is resistance and the bottom line is the support.

2. Start watching the stock from 9.30 AM on.

3. If the price crosses above the resistance line and the VWAP, it becomes a buy.

If the price crosses below the support line and the VWAP, it becomes a sell.

Let’s take an example:

how to trade 15 minute candles
The highs and lows are marked on the first 15 minute candle. The second candle suggested a sell, which was quickly negated, and may have resulted in a 30 paise loss if it was taken. At 12 PM, things settled down and the noise created by the herd smoothed out. The price crossed above the resistance line and the VWAP at 68, suggesting a buy. And, as you can see it resulted in gains of 4%.

How To Play This Strategy between 3.00 PM and 3.30 PM

The market typically buzzes around with pros between 2 PM till close.

Between 3 PM and 3.30 PM, the amateurs and the revenge traders likely square up their trades.

At this time you should decide whether your position is good enough for BTST, or whether you should square it up intra-day.

This is how you play this strategy between 3 Pm and 3.30 PM (assuming you have not booked profits earlier):

1. Mark the high and low from between 1 Pm and 3 PM if you have decided to go BTST.

2. If the price remains above the VWAP and close to the resistance line, you can carry it forward.

If the price starts dropping towards the VWAP or crosses below the support line, book profits.

(Play the reverse in case you have shorted.)

Let’s take an example:

price action strategy on 15 minute candles
NBCC’s price between 1 PM and 3.15 PM hovered near its highs and above the VWAP. Therefore it could be carried forward. However, know that 4% profits are super and had I traded in NBCC on Friday, I would have booked profits and moved on to another stock. But to each his own.

That’s it. Try it on different charts and check if it works well for you. Let me know on Twitter or here in the comments on how it worked out for you.

75 Comments

  1. Sir, doubt on 9:30 AM strategy – if we have bought at 68, our stop loss should be low of first 15 min candle body? Or, we should wait and exit if a 15 min candle closes below VWAP?

  2. Sir, I guess you’ve marked open and close of 15 min candle in above charts. Please correct me if i am wrong.

  3. Sir, Do you use chartInk to get alerts? Can you please suggest which site/application you use for scanner and alert for intraday trading.
    Thanks.

    • Normal. The Heiken Ashi is like a glorified average of the current and past candles OHLC and it can give a false signal, esp in shares that are turning around.

  4. Hello sir,

    Good articles really. One question, may sound silly, do we need to use fibonacci pivot points (continuous or normal) for resistance and support levels?

  5. Hi!
    How do we mention the current price in Streak algo? I was trying to emulate “3. If the price crosses above the resistance line and the VWAP, it becomes a buy.” from your steps in Streak, but, could not find any suitable usage/indicator for mention current price.

    ~Newbie

    • I urge you not to play with static technical formulas in Streak. You’ll end up paying brokerage for trades triggered the time your price is above VWAP after meeting your 1st exit conditions.

  6. Thanks for replying! Since you had mentioned Streak, I too was trying to backtest. It will be great if you could give a snapshot of what you had entered in Streak. I just want Streak to give alerts, because I cannot monitor prices all the time.
    ~Newbie

  7. sir
    today 03.10.2018 i sold 2 lots in M&MFIN @ 404.15 between 11.00-11.15 AM candle when previous candle closed below VWAP and Lower than 9.15-9.30 Candle Lower level.
    i placed an order to buy at 398.15 with the stop loss at 407.55
    but unfortunately it bounced back and hit my SL at VWAP line at 407.55 immediately in the next candle 11.30 AM :((

    kindly advise, do we need to filter more or it was just a matter of chance :((

    i am writing this message at 2.30 PM after waiting for movement since 11.30 am till 2.30 pm

  8. Thanks for sharing strategy. Since I trade in Banknifty,the first 15 minute candle is very long and sometimes really long with long wick and sometimes with long body too. how can i trade in such setup

  9. Sir thanks for sharing this strategy. I wanted to know about the BTST accept of the trade where in we assume that resistance being the low of the 3 pm and support being the high of the 1 pm candle. Is this understanding correct here ?

      • Sir Did you write anything on volume analysis. If yes, could you please provide me with the key word from that blog I will search the link. Thanks

  10. Based on the 1:00 pm to 3:00 pm S/R Line I am trying to do a Chartink screener.
    This should provide me with a list of stocks which fall in the BTST category.
    Below is the screener which I should run at 3.01 pm.

    Latest Close Greater than[-8] 15 minute Open
    Latest Close Greater than[-8] 15 minute Close
    Latest Close Greater than[-1] 15 minute Open
    Latest Close Greater than[-1] 15 minute Close
    Latest Close Greater than Latest VWAP

    This should give me bullish list of stocks. Is this correct?
    Is there anything else I need to consider?

  11. Sir RBL Bank Ltd. it has fallen on 19.10.18. From the OPTION CHAIN, if you were me which CE or PE or Both will you buy on 22.10.18. so that I can clearly understand the theory with this as an example. If you do not mind sir.

    • Markets are too fluid to predict beyond 24 hours. I would watch the price action in the morning and decide which CE or PE to buy. The CE or PE must be within the daily volatility range, once the price action strategy confirms a trend.

  12. is it possible that on any day this set up doesnt actuate?..i tried paper testing on BNF on 06.11.2018..couldnt find any trade..

    • There was a clear sell at 1.30PM. You have not understood the article. I suggest you sharpen your understanding of price action before applying strategies.

    • The VWAP did at 3 Pm and the price action confirmed at 3.15 PM. You should re-read the article and understand it before applying

  13. hello sir, out of 200 fno stocks, how i choose those stocks upon which this strategy can be applied. why reliance or nbcc; why not u picked DLF. thanks

  14. Sir,
    I have tested this after market hours and posted Chartink charts on twitter . Hope you read them. The strategy is simple but effective. Hats off Sir. I will try live action tomorrow with your suggestions

  15. Sunil sir it worked for me today in arvind as opening 15 minor candle I marked and it crosses baap and resistance I bought future fo 8 points gain booked nicely presented.
    Thanks

  16. Hi sir.
    I have been following you since a while now and I have been back testing the 15 min candle strategy for a while now and it has been wrong superb on around 10-15 stocks..yesterday ncc was gem it gave around 6rs fro the signal generated..thank you sir..waiting for telegram channel of yours sir.god bless you.

  17. Hi Sir,
    This strategy is bit confusing me on the 1/1/2019 Niftyjan11000CE end time between 1 to 3 PM , but next day 2/1/2019 as per the explanation the price should go up but it has fallen like anything for the NEXT day start itself, can you please help me on this it will be helpfull.

    • You cannot be using previous day’s 5 minute candles to determine next day’s strategy. If you don’t have this basic knowledge, I suggest you don’t trade

  18. Ok sir thank you so much for your valuable time and suggestion,
    Can you please suggest me which is the best strategy to move with.

  19. Excellent Article. Practical knowlege, You are the best sir.

    Salute.

    you have any jobs on offer, would like to join you and work closely with you.

    Have work experience of 10 years with American company.

    trade is my passion.

  20. Hi Sunil, is there a VWAP value I should be using? I’m using EDELWEISS trader and when I use this indicator there is an option to enter the value and default is 10.

      • Appreciate quick response, thank you so much.
        One more query do we need to wait for the confirmation candle? If we take today’s instance 27th April, Nifty April Future the 15 Minute candle formed at 9:30 crossed both resistance and VWAP so should we execute the trade and the candle completion? or as soon as it crossed? I follow you on youtube as well may be you can post a quick short video on this would be great. many thanks in advance.

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